Macro: Equity markets had a positive day yesterday with the S&P500 +0.9% and the Nasdaq +1.5%, as the market assessed the Iran-Israel conflict could be contained and deescalated through talks. Europe rose +0.4%. Economic releases today include the ZEW Expectations survey for Germany at 10:00 (35 est.), then at 13:30 we get May’s US Retail Sales (est. -0.6% MoM), Import Prices (-0.2% est.) and the NY Fed Services Business Activity index. Later at 14:15 May’s Industrial Production (est. 0.0% MoM) and Capacity Utilisation (est. 77.7%) data are released. Finally, at 15:00 Business Inventories (est. 0.0%) and NAHB Housing Market Index (est. 36) are announced. From the central bankers, we only have the ECB’s Villeroy and Centeno speaking. It’s also a busy week for central banks, with six of the ten most-traded currencies in the world set for rate decisions this week.

Stock: We have updates on TotalEnergies and AIB. (Comment attached)

Debt: Bond markets oscillated a bit yesterday but eventually yields ended more or less unchanged in Europe but slightly higher in the US

• Asset Allocation
• Focus Feature: How to Navigate Bear Markets - With recessionary fears growing bigger, Leonardo Mazza, Junior Fund Manager, breaks down the business cycles that investors need to know in order to understand their current positioning
• Wealth Management: University Challenge - Michael Foley, Financial Advisor, outlines the cost of education in Ireland and suggests how parents can start to prepare at a very early stage
• Analyst Conviction List: The investment case for our preferred names
• The Fund Edit: Latest update on our range of investment funds, ETFs and trusts
• Ethical Investing: Green Effects providing sustainable investment returns
• Corporate Finance News: Choppy Waters for Real Estate - What Lies Beyond the Horizon? Central banks have raised interest rates with the hope of slowing inflation, but what does this mean for real estate? David Lawlor, Corporate Finance Director, considers the Q4 outlook and how Ireland's real estate market might fare.

Opportunities this week:

• On Thursday after the bell, L’Oreal issued a very reassuring set of Q1 sales figures. Following this encouraging update, we reiterate our OVERWEIGHT rating with an unchanged price target of €415.
• Over the past few weeks, there have been a number of company specific and macroeconomic developments that, in our view, should be viewed in a positive light for Grafton Group. OVERWEIGHT PT: £12.05
• Last week GSK secured favourable recommendations from the US CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunisation Practices (ACIP) for two key vaccines. OVERWEIGHT PT: £20.10.