The Broadening Investment Horizon
There are moments in financial markets that resemble those curious afternoons on the Irish coast when the sea appears to retreat from itself. Nothing has happened, one thinks. The horizon remains in place. The gulls continue their languid circuits overhead. Yet something subtle has shifted. The waterline has moved, quietly and without announcement.
So it is with global equity markets today.
For much of the past three years, investors have lived beneath the towering shadow of artificial intelligence (AI). A small constellation of companies including semiconductor giants, hyperscale cloud operators and digital leviathans drew capital towards themselves with an irresistible gravitational force. Their earnings growth was extraordinary, their ambitions seemingly limitless and their share-price performancereflected a widespread belief that they alone were the principal beneficiaries of the technological age unfolding before us.
In recent weeks, however, the atmosphere has changed.
Some of the most celebrated beneficiaries of the AI boom have experienced significant drawdowns from their recent peaks, while enthusiasm surrounding the trade has become less singular and more questioning. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has corrected by more than 15% since mid June.
Yet it would be a mistake to interpret this as the end of the story. Rather, it appears increasingly like a change of chapter.
The distinction matters.
A Change of Chapter, Not an Ending
Markets are not abandoning technological innovation. Earnings expectations for many companies exposed to AI remain robust. Demand for advanced semiconductors continues to outpace supply and meaningful capacity additions are coming through over the next couple of years. The long-term structural case remains compelling.
In fact, looking at the so-called Magnificent Seven of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla, alongside Broadcom, this basket’s relative rolling 12 month outperformance against the broader S&P 500 is currently at a very low level. That in itself suggests it could be a good time to invest in the basket.
What investors are beginning to recognise, however, is that outperformance in markets rarely remains concentrated indefinitely.
Bull markets mature. Leadership broadens. Yesterday’s winners do not necessarily become tomorrow’s losers but they may find themselves sharing the stage.
The Broadening Narrative
This broadening narrative is one of the more intriguing developments emerging across global markets. While certain technology stocks have stumbled, broader indices have remained remarkably resilient. The world economy has demonstrated an ability to absorb geopolitical shocks, energy disruptions, tariffs and monetary tightening with greater composure than many expected. Beneath the surface, other sectors have begun to stir.
Banks are one example.
Across the US and Europe, financial institutions have benefited from higher interest rates, disciplined capital management and improving earnings momentum. The second quarter 2026 reporting season has largely reinforced this picture. JPMorgan, currently our largest holding in the Global Equity Income Fund, recently hit an all-time high share price, as did rival Morgan Stanley, also a fund holding. Both banks’ investment banking divisions are seeing strong revenues from AI related funding and renewed IPO activity.
Elsewhere, industrials and select cyclicals are drawing renewed attention. Moderating inflation and stabilising bond yields could make capital more willing to reward companies tied to the tangible economy, particularly industrials and infrastructure, where we have strong exposure across our discretionary portfolios and Global Equity Income Fund.
Volatility Is Not Deterioration
Of course, uncertainty remains.
Energy markets remain highly sensitive to developments in the Middle East, feeding into inflation and interest rate decisions. Geopolitical risks have not disappeared. Markets have grown accustomed to episodes of anxiety that erupt without warning and disappear with equal speed.
The oil price and oil company shares shot up in March at the onset of the Iran war, then retreated in May and June as oil stocks were heavily sold off. But as Iran tensions rise again in July, we note that the cushion of oil inventories have been drained to its lowest level since 1983.
It is important that investors note the difference between volatility and deterioration. The former is an unavoidable feature of investing. The latter is considerably rarer than headlines often imply.
For long-term wealth investors this distinction is crucial.
Periods of rotation often feel uncomfortable because they challenge established convictions. A portfolio heavily tilted towards the most fashionable themes of the previous cycle may suddenly feel less invincible. Yet these moments frequently create opportunities. When capital begins to migrate from a narrow set of winners towards a wider universe of companies, diversification once again demonstrates its quiet virtue. Our Global Equity Income Fund has successfully navigated such shifts in investment climate many times across its 24 year history.
Europe Rejoins the Conversation
For years, Europe has occupied an awkward position in investors’ imaginations. It was the continent of middling growth, complicated politics and perennial disappointment. Capital flowed elsewhere. America possessed technological glamour. Emerging markets promised dynamism. Europe seemed destined always to arrive slightly late to the future.
Yet markets have a habit of eventually rewarding what is neglected.
Beneath the surface, the earnings picture across Europe has been improving steadily. Corporate profit expectations have strengthened, narrowing a gap with the United States that had appeared stubborn and enduring. Banks have emerged from their long post -financial-crisis convalescence with stronger balance sheets and healthier profitability. Industrial companies, often overlooked in favour of digital champions, stand to benefit from investment in infrastructure, energy transition and increased defence spending.
Importantly, earnings revisions for Europe are now moving upward, an important short-term catalyst for investors looking to buy into the region.
Preparation, Not Prediction
At the same time, the global risks confronting investors have not disappeared. Geopolitical tensions, shifting monetary policy and concentration within a narrow group of market leaders all have the potential to unsettle markets. The future, as ever, remains stubbornly unpredictable.
This is why successful investing is not an exercise in prediction but in preparation and diversification.
At Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland, for our clients, the objective is not to forecast every twist in the road. It is to build investment portfolios capable of travelling well regardless of the route taken and the obstacles encountered, while keeping sight of the destination. That means balancing participation in powerful long term themes such as artificial intelligence with exposure to quality businesses across other sectors and geographies. It means recognising that today’s overlooked opportunities may become tomorrow’s market leaders. And it means maintaining the discipline to look beyond the noise of headlines towards the underlying drivers of wealth creation: earnings growth, sensible valuations, robust cash flows and prudent stewardship of capital.
We have expanded our holdings in the Global Equity Income Fund in recent months and some of our discretionary portfolios to increase exposure to currently unfashionable but attractively valued sectors, including consumer staples through Kerry Group and Procter & Gamble, oil through Exxon and Shell, European defence through BAE Systems and Thales and professional services through RELX.
The current market environment rewards that broader perspective. The horizon is widening. Europe is once again entering the investment conversation, while risks that once seemed distant are demanding renewed attention. For investors willing to embrace both realities, our discretionary portfolios and our Global Equity Income Fund offer both protection against uncertainty and the opportunity to benefit from it.
Written by Pramit Ghose, Global Strategist, Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland
About the author: Pramit Ghose is Global Strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland and has over 35 years of investment experience. He has successfully run global equity income portfolios since 2001 and his experience spans client portfolio construction, active portfolio management, risk management and tailoring portfolios to client outcome objectives. Pramit is Lead Portfolio Manager of the Global Equity Income Fund and several discretionary model portfolios. He has previously held Fund Manager, CIO, CEO, Investment Consultant and Actuary roles and is also a registered stockbroker.
If you would like to find out more about how our discretionary portfolios and Global Equity Income Fund could work for you, you can find more information here.
Pramit Ghose